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S& Global Platts Crude & Refined Products Market

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Russia’s Shadow Fleet
Formation, operation, and continued risks for sanctions compliance teams

Russian oil exports continue to divest from the use of 'Western' covered services. A recent S&P Global Commodity Insights report noted nearly 80% of Russian exports are potentially shipped outside of the G7 oil price cap. A significant number of oil transactions and shipments are, therefore, probably evading sanctions.

In response to this, regulatory authorities in the United States and the United Kingdom have placed vessels, owners and charterers of Russian oil shipments on sanction watchlists. As the G7 oil price cap edges towards its second anniversary at the end of 2024 and in light of recent regulatory activities, the formation and operation of the Russian shadow fleet remains important to identify when working with maritime partners and firms.


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Key takeaways as of the date of publication of this whitepaper and based on available information to the Company:

  • S&P Global Market Intelligence and S&P Global Commodity Insights estimate that there are approximately 591 tankers in the shadow fleet operating in the trade of Russian oil trade
  • The shadow fleet in accordance with previous S&P Global Market Intelligence estimates from 2023 has increased by 33%
  • The overall number of vessels involved in the shipment of Russian oil since December 5, 2022, is 1,431
  • About 24% of all in-service crude and product tankers have engaged in the shipment of Russian oil, with 10% of those tankers representing the shadow fleet
  • Tier 1 fleet of highest-risk vessels consists of 271 tankers with a total carrying capacity of 37.8 million dwt, nearly 6% of the overall global fleet in capacity terms
  • Russian, Iranian, and Venezuelan state interest operate roughly 60% of Tier 1 ships and are responsible for meeting the countries’ logistics requirements
  • Top flag state in Tier 1 is Iran with 69 ships, most of which are associated with Iran’s state-owned operator
  • Tier 2 showed large-scale re-flagging, with 35% of vessels in this band changing their flag twice, and 12% changing more than three times
  • Tier 2 had 311 unique registered owners associated to the 320 vessels in this group, demonstrating how single ship fleets (SSFs) are becoming more prominent, with 73% of companies founded after 2022
  • Tier 3 accounted for 59%, or 840 tanker vessels, half of which are owned by companies domiciled in Greece
  • Tier 3 involvement in the Russian oil trade doubled from 26% of total flows in 2021 to 52% of crude and product exports during 2023

Please fill in the form to download the full complimentary paper.

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